Four answers to one question
Lifetime value asks what a customer will pay you before they leave. There's more than one way to answer, and the answers differ a lot. This calculator shows four at once so you can see the spread.
Simple LTV is revenue per month divided by churn. Gross-margin LTV does the same with profit instead of revenue. Discounted LTV shrinks future months, since money later is worth less than money now. Contract LTV uses the actual term you sold.
Which one to trust
Use gross-margin LTV for decisions. Revenue isn't profit, and a 100 dollar customer at 70 percent margin is worth 70, not 100.
Discounted LTV is more cautious and suits finance teams. Contract LTV fits annual or multi-year deals where churn can't happen mid-term. Simple LTV is fine for a quick estimate and not much else.
Churn and lifespan
Average lifespan is one divided by monthly churn. At 2 percent churn, customers stay about 50 months. At 5 percent, only 20. A small change in churn moves LTV a lot, which is why the sensitivity chart matters.
The chart plots gross-margin LTV against a range of churn rates. Look at how steep it gets near the low end. Going from 3 percent to 2 percent is worth far more than going from 8 to 7.
Expansion and margin
If customers upgrade over time, their revenue rises and LTV rises with it. Include expansion if you have solid data on it. If you're guessing, leave it out.
For gross margin, count hosting, support, payment fees and any cost tied to serving the customer. A software margin of 75 to 85 percent is typical, but use your own figure.
Pair it with CAC
LTV alone doesn't say much. Divide it by CAC. A ratio near 3 or better is the usual target. Much higher can mean you're underspending on growth.
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